Football betting thread

Chat about any non-Posh related football matters here.

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tonyp
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Re: Woking replay

Post by tonyp » 13 Dec 2017, 12:05

john316z wrote:
13 Dec 2017, 11:52
Everyone expected us to win but some (myself included) were concerned about complacency after but for the cross bar in the 1st game we'd be out of the cup now
Everyone DID NOT expect us to win.
Chompy wrote:
10 Dec 2017, 03:03
I'll be backing Woking.
superposh80 wrote:
10 Dec 2017, 16:06
8/1 for a team that should have won the original tie is a decent enough price.
I'm tempted.
Being happy never goes out of style

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Chompy
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Re: Woking replay

Post by Chompy » 13 Dec 2017, 12:25

I did expect us to win but the prices were incorrect imo.

2-5 Posh was too short and 8-1 Woking was too big.

I've backed worse 8-1 shots in my time, that's for sure.

I made them about a 5-1 shot. About one in six 5-1 shots win. This one didn't.

Crowing over someone else placing a losing bet is pretty low though.

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stuie
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Re: Woking replay

Post by stuie » 13 Dec 2017, 12:28

Chompy wrote:
13 Dec 2017, 12:25
I did expect us to win but the prices were incorrect imo.

2-5 Posh was too short and 8-1 Woking was too big.

I've backed worse 8-1 shots in my time, that's for sure.

I made them about a 5-1 shot. About one in six 5-1 shots win. This one didn't.

Crowing over someone else placing a losing bet is pretty low though.
I understand, betting is about odds, statistics etc, so a gambler does not always bet on what he thinks or wants

got it
Plymouth to Portsmouth 2017 -2018, that ain't far

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Chompy
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Re: Woking replay

Post by Chompy » 13 Dec 2017, 12:39

100%, it's only ever about pitting your opinion against the general price.

For the past few years Liverpool have been underpriced for a lot of PL games. I tend not to play PL games, as my knowledge lies further down the pyramid, but I know a few who've done well taking them on. Not so much this season obv.

I made plenty backing Posh goals when we were prolific. The 7-1 v Ipswich was a highlight.

Bookmakers prices don't allow for how teams set up when it comes to goal markets. So, for example, if we're a 5-4 shot at home to Bury and Burnley are a 5-4 shot at home to Stoke, the prices about us and Burnley scoring 4+, 5+ and 6+ would be the same. That's clearly flawed.

I've knocked the bet on the head for the time being, although did cop a 4+ v Wobblers in early season.

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bristleposh
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by bristleposh » 14 Dec 2017, 09:21

Last night I had my first win North of £100 for a fiver Trebles and an Acca on Everton, Leicester, Blackburn and Aberdeen, that'll keep me away from staking my own money for a good three weeks not allowing for other little nibbles I might get
http://www.theposhforum.co.uk/download/file.php?id=761

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stuie
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by stuie » 14 Dec 2017, 11:22

bristleposh wrote:
14 Dec 2017, 09:21
Last night I had my first win North of £100 for a fiver Trebles and an Acca on Everton, Leicester, Blackburn and Aberdeen, that'll keep me away from staking my own money for a good three weeks not allowing for other little nibbles I might get
send your money to me, I will give you better odds Buddy
Plymouth to Portsmouth 2017 -2018, that ain't far

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Chompy
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Re: Posh v Bury

Post by Chompy » 18 Dec 2017, 12:19

4-5 Poshies, 3-1 Draw, 7-2 Bury.

Surely has to start Lloydy ahead of the golden child doesn't he?

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bristleposh
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by bristleposh » 19 Dec 2017, 22:49

Don't you just hate it when an accumulator gets scuppered in the 97th minute by a Jamie Vardy penalty
http://www.theposhforum.co.uk/download/file.php?id=761

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stuie
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by stuie » 19 Dec 2017, 22:52

bristleposh wrote:
19 Dec 2017, 22:49
Don't you just hate it when an accumulator gets scuppered in the 97th minute by a Jamie Vardy penalty
as per previous post, just transfer your money to me, and I will buy the beers
Plymouth to Portsmouth 2017 -2018, that ain't far

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tonyp
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by tonyp » 20 Dec 2017, 08:48

stuie wrote:
19 Dec 2017, 22:52
bristleposh wrote:
19 Dec 2017, 22:49
Don't you just hate it when an accumulator gets scuppered in the 97th minute by a Jamie Vardy penalty
as per previous post, just transfer your money to me, and I will buy the beers
:stupid: You would always be sure of getting a beer.
Gambling is just as bad as alcoholism.
Being happy never goes out of style

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bristleposh
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by bristleposh » 20 Dec 2017, 09:23

tonyp wrote:
20 Dec 2017, 08:48
stuie wrote:
19 Dec 2017, 22:52
bristleposh wrote:
19 Dec 2017, 22:49
Don't you just hate it when an accumulator gets scuppered in the 97th minute by a Jamie Vardy penalty
as per previous post, just transfer your money to me, and I will buy the beers
:stupid: You would always be sure of getting a beer.
Gambling is just as bad as alcoholism.
Worse probably, it can ruin lives, I know alcoholism can too, but normally it isn't a silent evil. I have known many gamblers who have lost houses, families with seemingly no knowledge of the cause of the problem. I have known of two local suicides caused by gambling.
http://www.theposhforum.co.uk/download/file.php?id=761

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Chompy
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Re: FA Cup Fourth round

Post by Chompy » 17 Jan 2018, 00:59

9-2 Poshies, 5-2 Draw, 4-7 Leicester.

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bristleposh
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by bristleposh » 27 Jan 2018, 00:04

Question for our betting expert, just looked at betfair. Posh v Leicester first goal to Posh x, first goal to Leicester x, no goals 10/1
correct score list 0-0 12/1 Do you recko0n they think people are stooooopid
http://www.theposhforum.co.uk/download/file.php?id=761

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Chompy
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by Chompy » 27 Jan 2018, 19:07

Betfair is not a bookmaker as such, it's a person-to-person betting exchange. So you're betting directly against another person.

The website has nothing like the turnover it had in the late noughties. They got rid of a lot of long-term winners by bringing in a 'Premium Charge' (I was put on 50% commission!) and then got taken over by Paddy Power, who seem intent on running it into the ground. They're doing a good job. Loathe that firm and its lads-mag appraoch to bookmaking with a passion.

Bookmakers hated Betfair when it launched around the turn of the Millennium and are now getting their wish. The decline in the past three or four years has been staggering.

In sub-markets on matches like this there's hardly any money floating around on the site any more.

RIP Betfair. You were amazing for ten years but now you're a bit of a joke.

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Chompy
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Re: Football betting thread

Post by Chompy » 27 Jan 2018, 19:10

I'm not sure if that ^^^^ makes sense. If you've got an hour or so to kill, do some google work on Betfair, it's an interesting subject.

They revolutionised betting when they launched and I'm not going to criticise them. It would be ridiculous. I made a chunk during the good years. Their time has rather come and gone though.

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