Official betting thread

Chat about any non-Posh related football matters here.

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Chompy
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by Chompy » 20 Feb 2016, 21:39

PoshCynic wrote:
Chompy wrote:Coral are 9-2 about us finishing in the top six, which is an insult.

After a couple of seasons of bookmakers over-rating us, when we were terrible, they're now under-rating us consistently at the start of what's looking a big upswing.

The 4-1 with Sky and Ladbrokes is also decent value.

An insult indeed - 50-1 now more appropriate.
More aftertiming. I put us up at 9-2 and since then we have been odds-on at one stage to make the play-offs. Betting isn't solely about results, it's about putting yourself in good positions.

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stuie
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by stuie » 20 Feb 2016, 21:40

PoshCynic wrote:
Chompy wrote:Coral are 9-2 about us finishing in the top six, which is an insult.

After a couple of seasons of bookmakers over-rating us, when we were terrible, they're now under-rating us consistently at the start of what's looking a big upswing.

The 4-1 with Sky and Ladbrokes is also decent value.

An insult indeed - 50-1 now more appropriate.
I would put £1 on at those odds (only bet small stakes for fun)

I have learnt a lot from this thread, thanks Chompy for starting it

however my betting reminds me of my motorway driving in a tailback, always end up in the wrong lane Hey ho
Plymouth to Portsmouth 2017 -2018, that ain't far

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tonyp
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by tonyp » 20 Feb 2016, 22:38

stuie wrote:
I have learnt a lot from this thread, thanks Chompy for starting it
Me too.
Similar to what I learned from my father many years ago. Don't waste your money on gambling.
Being happy never goes out of style.

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Chompy
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by Chompy » 20 Feb 2016, 23:03

stuie wrote:
PoshCynic wrote:
Chompy wrote:Coral are 9-2 about us finishing in the top six, which is an insult.

After a couple of seasons of bookmakers over-rating us, when we were terrible, they're now under-rating us consistently at the start of what's looking a big upswing.

The 4-1 with Sky and Ladbrokes is also decent value.

An insult indeed - 50-1 now more appropriate.
I would put £1 on at those odds (only bet small stakes for fun)

I have learnt a lot from this thread, thanks Chompy for starting it

however my betting reminds me of my motorway driving in a tailback, always end up in the wrong lane Hey ho
As well as your sex life?
tonyp wrote:
stuie wrote:
I have learnt a lot from this thread, thanks Chompy for starting it
Me too.
Similar to what I learned from my father many years ago. Don't waste your money on gambling.
Generally, this is correct. Less than 2% of gamblers make a profit over the course of their lifetime. The numbers on Betfair are even thinner. Something like 0.4% make an annual profit of £50k+ p.a.

But it can be done.

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stuie
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by stuie » 20 Feb 2016, 23:12

seeming's you comment

not like my sex life

been married for 30 years, and all good

Yep been monotonous for 30 years (pun intended) :clap:
Plymouth to Portsmouth 2017 -2018, that ain't far

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bristleposh
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by bristleposh » 21 Feb 2016, 10:37

Chompy wrote:

Generally, this is correct. Less than 2% of gamblers make a profit over the course of their lifetime. The numbers on Betfair are even thinner. Something like 0.4% make an annual profit of £50k+ p.a.

But it can be done.
I take it from your gambling knowledge know about the punter who won the scoop six, c£70k the following week with a million pound at stake he went for the favourite and laid the favourite on betfair to £30k the favourite lost so no million but he got a nice little £30k top-up to his £70k already banked. That is the way to make gambling pay.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cb1Ea6WUAAAJX48.png

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Chompy
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by Chompy » 21 Feb 2016, 11:19

Not sure who that was.

Harry Findlay used to win the Scoop6 often and usually got the other winners to club together to make sure as many horses were covered the following week.

Depending on who you believe, said gentleman is now bust. Again.

I'm a trader by nature though, as it suits my nitty nature. It makes sense to me. If you've backed Posh at 9-2 to make the top six and are then in a position to back Posh not to finish in the top six at Evens. why not ensure a profit either way?

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stuie
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by stuie » 21 Feb 2016, 11:39

Chompy wrote:If you've backed Posh at 9-2 to make the top six and are then in a position to back Posh not to finish in the top six at Evens. why not ensure a profit either way?
good point, will go for this as, I had a Tenner on for the top 6
Plymouth to Portsmouth 2017 -2018, that ain't far

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Chompy
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by Chompy » 21 Feb 2016, 11:44

Price not there any more unf stuie.

We're now 2-9 to finish outside the top six, so all you can do is put £45 on at that price to effectively close out the bet.

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tonyp
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by tonyp » 21 Feb 2016, 11:50

Chompy wrote:Price not there any more unf stuie.

We're now 2-9 to finish outside the top six, so all you can do is put £45 on at that price to effectively close out the bet.
Presumably that only works if we finish outside the top six. If stuie is confident that we will why wouldn't he put more on?
Being happy never goes out of style.

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Chompy
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by Chompy » 23 Feb 2016, 23:37

Skybet are 11-4 that we finish in the bottom half of the table.

That could look very decent if we fail to beat Swindon, with trips to Bury and Wigan coming next week.

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tonyp
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by tonyp » 25 Feb 2016, 13:21

Chompy wrote:Skybet are 11-4 that we finish in the bottom half of the table.

That could look very decent if we fail to beat Swindon, with trips to Bury and Wigan coming next week.
Chompy wrote:Skybet's odds are not remotely interesting.

And Skybet are an utter joke of a firm, who close down anyone with half a clue almost immediately.

Sorry, but I can't have them being trumpeted.
Posh v Swindon
Peterborough 4/5
Draw 3/1
Swindon 3/1
Nearly everybody thinks we'll lose so there is a good chance to make money even if they're not interesting.

AND
Swindon - Win to Nil 9/1
Swindon 3-0 50/1
Swindon 3-1 28/1
Get in!!

AND
Barnsley to finish higher than Peterborough 10/11
Swindon to finish higher than Peterborough 5/1
Being happy never goes out of style.

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stuie
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by stuie » 26 Feb 2016, 19:32

I have decided, Posh will win

so I have put my whole betting fund on Posh to win
Plymouth to Portsmouth 2017 -2018, that ain't far

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Chompy
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by Chompy » 26 Feb 2016, 20:12

Eeeek!

Glglgl stuie, takes some faith backing a team on a run like ours at odds-on.

superposh80
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Re: Official betting thread

Post by superposh80 » 26 Feb 2016, 20:26

stuie wrote:I have decided, Posh will win

so I have put my whole betting fund on Posh to win
heart ruling the head stuie?

sheffield united to win at rochdale more appealing for me :wink:

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